Lost mercy of of monsoon

The lower than expected seasonal rainfall, or what is fondly called the monsoons, is casting gloom not just on the faces of those looking for a respite from the heat, but in a country where the rains are the only way to irrigate crops, agricultural output could falter and the economy could start sputtering.
Satya Bansal, CEO of Barclays Wealth, India, said, "17 per cent of India's GDP still depends on the agriculture sector and 60 per cent of agriculture remains rain dependent. A weak monsoon would mean lower agricultural output."

Apart from the economic impact, a weak monsoon could also put pressure on corporates by denting India's rural consumption story, but for now corporates find little reason to worry.

As every major report on climate change has alarmingly pointed out, the impact of global warming will be most felt by developing countries. In a final injustice of geography and imperial history, the world's developing countries are by and large also the world's warmest and most densely populated. Of all the emerging economies whose fortunes are rising, India is one of the most vulnerable to climate change.
Little wonder India is building a fence along its border with Bangladesh in anticipation of a wave of climate-change refugees. At 4,000 kilometers in length, the Indo-Bangladeshi Barrier will rival the Great Wall of China. One can only imagine what rising sea levels will do to the millions crammed onto reclaimed land in Mumbai or in India's new auto manufacturing hub of Chennai, around which one trusts the government of India has no plans to build fences.

Climate change is also already causing the glaciers of the Himalayas to melt at an alarming rate, the rivers they feed are receding. Some scientists are predicting that the sacred Ganga, whose waters have nourished the great grain-producing Gangetic plains as well as the souls of untold millions of Hindu faithful through millennia, is in danger of simply drying up. Three billion people - half the world's current population - depend on the Himalayas for water. The impact of that water dwindling away is terrifying.

If temperatures rise in India by even a couple of degrees Celsius, which they are already well on track to do, the very viability of food plants will be threatened. Yields will plummet in plants simply not evolved to thrive in higher temperatures. More immediately, climate change causes predictable weather patterns to become unpredictable. This is not good news for a country where the vast majority of agricultural production depends on the regular arrival, duration, and bounty of the monsoon rains.

Climate change is a weapon of mass destruction. Mitigating global warming by whatever means necessary should be the new Indian government's priority number one.
The government should make a major push to develop low-cost alternative energy technologies that don't require finite, toxic fuel sources (which means both fossil and fissile energy sources).

India must embrace a new path to equity and sustainability, without which democracy will merely be one casualty among many too terrible to imagine

'WalaikumAssalaam': Indian muslims to Obama

MUMBAI: President Barack Obama's "new beginning'' seems to have sown seeds of hope among large sections of the Muslim community in India going rom initial reactions to his much-awaited speech to the Islamic world. Opening with the traditional greeting of `Assalaamu Alaykum', Obama made several references to Quranic verses and spoke both articulately and with feeling, and referred to the conflict-torn areas of Israel, Iraq and Afghanistan.

The American Centre in Mumbai organised a post-speech discussion of Muslim scholars, clerics and lay Muslims. The collective sentiment seemed to be that Indian Muslims should cooperate to isolate the extremist fringe and promote peace.

Urdu commentator Hasan Kamal, who led the discussion, sounded quite overwhelmed when he said, "I have heard and read speeches of many world leaders. But I can honestly say that I have never heard anything like this before. I listened to Obama as a Muslim, and must say that he has given the Muslims and the world a new hope.''

Many were touched by Obama's "Assalaamu Alaykum'' and his quoting from the holy book. "By quoting the Quran in the right context, Obama has reiterated that Islam stands for peace and reconciliation. He reminded the Muslims of the Quranic commandment about being truthful when he quoted `be conscious of God and always speak the truth','' said Zeenat Shaukat Ali who teaches Islamic Studies at St Xavier's College. She was also happy at the way in which Obama upheld the rights of women and women's educations. The American president said he had no problem with the hijab but did have a problem with a woman being denied the right to education andequality.

Even the orthodox section welcomed Obama's effort to debunk the "crude stereotypes' ' that the community has been labelled with.

"His speech will help reduce hostility between the USA and the Islamic world. It will open a new chapter of reconciliation between the largely aggrieved Muslim world and the West,'' said Qasim Rasool Illyas of All India Muslim Personal Law Board, an influential Muslim body. Illyas also lauded the venue of the speech. "Cairo, with its rich Islamic roots and its two major institutions which co-sponsored the address-Islamic seminary Al-Azhar and Cairo University-was the right platform to reach out to Muslims. Muslims must welcome it,'' he said.

The most widely appreciated point in the speech was the roadmap to solve the festering Palestine-Israel conflict. Prof Mushirul Hasan, historian and vice-chancellor of Jamia Millia Islamia, called it a "laudable initiative'' . "He has openly talked of Palestine's genuine right of being a separate nation and Israel's right to exist. This is the best possible speech one could have expected from him,'' said Hasan.